The projection model sees the powerful Crimson Tide beating Florida State by 14 or more points nearly two-thirds of the time in their Saturday prime-time matchup. Look for Alabama to pull away and cover this number Saturday night.

The Crimson Tide are once again the most talented team in the country! They reloaded with All-Americans everywhere. There are only two ways to go after losing last year's championship game. Feel sorry for yourself or be in even better shape than they were last year. Nick Saban is the best coach in the country. You know they will be even better this year!

Florida State has 10 starters returning on defense and its offense brings back three offensive-lineman and Heisman candidate Deondre Francois at QB. The Seminoles closed out 2016 with five straight wins and four straight covers. I have them rated much higher than the spread suggests, so since this is a neutral site, I feel I'm looking at a spread that's way too high. I have to take the dog despite 'Bama covering 10 of 14 last season. The 'Noles play well here in what should be a high-scoring game. FSU covers.