A matchup of in-state rivals heading in opposite directions has drawn a surprisingly small line. Virginia has won four in a row and seven of eight straight-up, while Tech has dropped four in a row. The Hokies were held to 39 points in the first meeting. With a young rotation that includes six freshmen, Tech is unlikely to solve UVA’s pack-line defense, especially with G Landers Nolley (16.7 ppg) in a shooting slump. He is 8-for-44 in the last three games.

My model says that the Hokies cover the spread almost 70 percent of the time, so you're getting excellent value playing them at this point spread. Virginia Tech will have revenge on its mind after being pounded 65-39 at Virginia on Jan. 4. The Hokies play well at home, where they are 11-5 this season. Take Virginia Tech and the points.