To expect a repeat of recent meeting in which a measly 104 points were scored is folly, but this season-low total for Duke is a tad high. The teams play almost mirror-image zone defenses that will be challenging to penetrate. Syracuse is dicey on shots from long distance, so it will often go deep into the shot clock while seeking looks against Duke’s remarkably improved defense. Good luck with that. The Orange’s three NCAA games have generated 106, 109 and 108 points. Hard to envision a quantum leap to above this total.

The Syracuse defense has been squeezing some of the best offenses over the past two weeks, which has kept its last four games Under the total. Duke has made a major transition in becoming a much better defensive team over the second half of the season. The Blue Devils have stayed Under in 14 of their last 20 games, one of which was a February home win against Syracuse, 60-44. Under is the top play here.