Super Bowl 57 opening odds, trends: Eagles slight favorites over Chiefs in 'Andy Reid Bowl'
The matchup for Super Bowl 57 on Feb. 12 from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., is set as the NFC champion and top-seeded Philadelphia Eagles will face the AFC champion and top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs. Of course, Andy Reid is the head coach of the Chiefs and formerly was of the Eagles, so this no doubt will be referred to over the next two weeks as the "Andy Reid Bowl." His current team opened -1 at DraftKings with a total of 49 -- although already the Eagles are -1.5 and the total 49.5. Philly will be the designated home team.
Reid was in Philadelphia from 1999-2012 and led the team to the Super Bowl following the 2004 season, a loss to New England. He was the winningest coach in Eagles history. This will be Reid's third time leading the Chiefs to the big game as they won it following the 2019 season by rallying past San Francisco but lost the next year against Tom Brady and the Bucs.
Philadelphia and Kansas City last played Week 4 of the 2021 season in the City of Brotherly Love, and the Chiefs won 42-30 as Mahomes threw five touchdown passes, three to Tyreek Hill (now with Miami). Jalen Hurts threw for 387 yards and two scores in the loss. Mahomes is a lock to win the regular-season NFL MVP Award during the NFL honors show on Thursday, Feb. 9, from Phoenix and Hurts is likely to finish second. Mahomes will open as the SB 57 MVP favorite and Hurts will be close behind if not the same price.
Favorites have gone 37-19 straight up and 28-26-2 against the spread in the Super Bowl. Only seven times has the losing team covered the spread. It happened last year in Los Angeles when the Rams were -4.5 on their own field and beat Cincinnati 23-20 (same score by which the Bengals lost to the Chiefs on Sunday).
Via the SportsLine Projection Model, the Chiefs are winning slightly more than 50% of the simulations of Super Bowl 57, but the Eagles are actually averaging more points per sim (23.7 to 23.6).
Super Bowl 57 will feature the first all-brother matchup as players in the game: Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce and Eagles center Jason Kelce. Brothers John Harbaugh and Jim Harbaugh coached on opposite sidelines for the Ravens and 49ers in Super Bowl 47.
One trend bodes well for the Eagles after they routed the 49ers 31-7 on Sunday, which followed a 38-7 blowout of the Giants in the previous round: Philadelphia is the fifth team to win in the divisional round and conference championship by at least 21 points. Each of the previous four teams won the Super Bowl.
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