My first instinct in this match is to bet the over, but that 3.5 total feels just a little too high. I don’t think Betis is going to open this game up and let Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior run wild. This feels like a match where the home side slows things down, stays compact and tries to hang around until late. I’m OK if this one blows up in my face because I think I’m getting a number that has gone a touch too far. Madrid is also on the road, where goals are usually a little harder to come by, and its defense has shown some real muscle early this season. It’ll probably be sweaty, but I’m betting the under.
