Want to note first that this is a play for me at +3 or better, since there are some +2.5's in the market at the time of this publishing. The odds of this being a one-possession game seem high given the rivalry and the pressure on both teams to get victories in the few quality win opportunities remaining on the schedule. A low-scoring clunker with both teams playing tight would not surprise me, but that gives even more of an edge to a North Carolina team with more consistent scoring options. Also, a few rivalry notes that work in our favor: UNC has won four straight games in Durham (and 5 of the last 7) and four times in the last 7 years the visiting team has won the midseason meeting.