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Tue 06/29 | 12:00 AM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Montreal Canadiens 36-37, +57 ML
MON +1.5
MON +175
Over 5
Tampa Bay Lightning 48-26, +109 ML
TB -1.5
TB -200
Under 5

Expert Picks

Montreal 1 @ Tampa Bay 5 | 06/29 | 12:00 AM UTC

Tampa Bay -196

WIN

ANALYSIS: Fairly big COVID news in that Montreal's Joel Armia is in protocols and didn't travel with the team to Tampa. Technically, he hasn't been ruled out of Game 1 yet but hard to see how he plays. Armia has eight points in these playoffs and is plus-4; he's a big part of the team's penalty kill. (Montreal coach Dominique Ducharme remains out in protocols.) I was leaning Tampa regardless but this somewhat helps justify the big price. The Habs have dropped their past six in Tampa, although they didn't play this season.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1851 149-94 IN LAST 243 NHL ML PICKS
+818 15-6 IN LAST 21 TB ML PICKS

Season Splits

36-37, +57 ML
48-26, +109 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
36-37, +55
48-26, +104
64%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
18-19, +220
27-10, +372
73%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
51%
18-17, +875
45-24, +22
65%
When Line was +165 to +195
MONEY LINE
When Line was -225 to -195
57%
4-3, +435
4-1, +92
80%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
12-11, +649
27-10, +372
73%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
48%
19-20, +589
8-2, +205
80%
vs Teams Allowing <2.6 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
69%
9-4, +1105
18-10, +182
64%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
51%
31-29, +544
43-22, +211
66%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MON
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Carey Price starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
57%
24-18, +896
43-17, +731
71%