My data suggests the underdog Capitals should beat the Golden Knights at least 45 percent of the time Wednesday in Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Finals, providing value versus the sportsbook odds. Washington took a third-period lead in Game 1 and statistically played an even game with Las Vegas, which pulled away late for a 6-4 win in a wild Game 1. Washington already has eight road wins in the postseason and hasn't lost more than one road game in a playoff series. There's value in supporting this trend to hold up in Game 2.

I'm expecting another high-scoring game in the Stanley Cup Finals after Game 1 produced 10 goals (one an empty-netter). My exact projection is for 6.3 goals. Go Over and look for another fast-paced affair.