It's an incredible matchup between a team that rarely loses on the road -- the Capitals are 8-2 away from home in the playoffs -- and the team that barely loses, as the Golden Knights are 12-3. Marc-Andre Fleury has been otherworldly this postseason, stopping nearly 95 percent of shots on goal, but the Capitals' stellar power play could be the great equalizer. Still, my projections indicate Vegas will solve Washington goaltender Braden Holtby quicker than the Caps figure out how to beat Fleury. Back the Knights.

My simulations show a minimum of six goals finding the net Monday in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals, giving us a strong position on the Over against this total. The Over is hitting in nearly 60 percent of simulations. The Golden Knights are on a 4-1 run to the Over at home, while the Capitals have a 10-1-1 run to the Over when playing on three or more days of rest.