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Ladd McConkey looks set to operate in an every down role for the Chargers after being selected with the 34th pick in the 2024 draft. There exists an unfair narrative that McConkey is a scrappy slot receiver, while in fact he is a more than capable outside receiver who possesses a diverse route tree and was efficient lining up outside at Georgia. The Chargers have overhauled their entire pass catching group after losing Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams, and Gerald Everett in the offseason. McConkey should have elite route participation and could emerge as Justin Herbert’s favorite target right out of the gate. DJ Chark has been ruled out for this game as well.
In four games as a Raider against Los Angeles' secondary, Adams has posted totals of 141, 177, 101, and 75 yards. He has (slightly) upgraded QB play this season with Gardner Minshew and should get a similar 33% target share to what he saw last season. I think another 75+ yard effort seems reasonable to me.
Consider the style of football Jim Harbaugh and Antonio Pierce want to play: pound the ball, play great defense and keep your team in a low-scoring game in the second half. Maybe that evolves for Harbaugh if some weapons emerge for his star QB, who also needs to prove he's healthy, but for now I love backing Unders in Chargers games, especially when facing a similar opponent. This game should finish in the 30s.
Jim Harbaugh returns to the NFL laying more than a field goal in this game, and I'm not sure why. Supposedly Justin Herbert's foot injury is a thing of the past, but those can often linger when you get into game situations. His supporting cast at RB and WR is bottom tier, and the defense still looks weak up the middle. This seems like the perfect situation for the Raiders to have success with their preferred style of pound the ball and play great defense. I have this line on the other side of 3.