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    Sun, Sep 085:00 pm UTCHard Rock Stadium
    87 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Jacksonville
    Jaguars
    JAC
    Last 2 ATS
    W/L0-2
    ATS1-1
    O/U0-2-0
    FINAL SCORE
    17
    -
    20
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 2 ATS
    W/L1-1
    ATS0-2
    O/U0-2-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 2 ATS
    0-2
    Win /Loss
    1-1
    1-1
    Spread
    0-2
    0-2-0
    Over / Under
    0-2-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    FS
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    TE
    Avatar
    OT
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    RB
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    WR
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    JAC @ MIA
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    JAC @ MIA
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    OVER / UNDER
    JAC @ MIA
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    53%
    PUBLIC
    47%
    MONEY
    6%
    PUBLIC
    94%
    MONEY
    Over77%
    PUBLIC
    Under23%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsGabe Davis Under 2.5 Total Receptions +130
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +239
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    I think Davis will play a lot for the Jaguars, but this passing offense figures to filter through Christian Kirk and Evan Engram with rookie Brian Thomas picking up some shot plays and crossing routes. What's left for Davis? The matchup will also be difficult assuming the Dolphins perimeter cornerbacks are healthy. I like the plus-odds on this one.

    Pick Made: Sep 08, 2:55 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadMiami -3 -120
    PUSH
    Unit0.5
    +364.75
    17-7-1 in Last 25 NFL Picks
    +94.5
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +274
    6-3-1 in Last 10 MIA ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    The Dolphins are 13-4 at home under Coach Mike McDaniel and 6-1 in September overall under him. No Bradley Chubb or Odell Beckham Jr. isn't ideal for the Fins, but pass-rusher and 2021 first-round pick Jaelan Phillips is good to go after a season-ending injury last November. Miami usually is almost unstoppable offensively at home, and the Jags are breaking in a new defensive scheme under new DC Ryan Nielsen. We push, we push but the other books are all at 3.5.

    Pick Made: Sep 04, 8:29 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadMiami -3.5 +102
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +255
    9-6 in Last 15 NFL Picks
    +155
    8-6 in Last 14 NFL ATS Picks
    +100
    3-2 in Last 5 JAC ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    This should be a good game that will give off playoff vibes. Where the Dolphins pose a problem in this matchup is with both the timing, speed and coordination of their offense. Expect them to be able to make this game a track meet and force the Jags offense to maintain a level of consistency throughout the game that we have not seen yet from them.

    Pick Made: Sep 04, 12:39 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerTravis Etienne Anytime Touchdown Scorer +125
    WIN
    Unit0.25
    +92.5
    4-2 in Last 6 NFL Player Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Travis Etienne is the unquestioned No. 1 RB on the Jaguars and shouldn't have many TDs vultured by QB Trevor Lawrence, who had four rushing scores in 2023 while Etienne had 11 plus one more receiving. I do think the Jags will score plenty Sunday on a Dolphins defense that lost a few key guys from 2023 and has a few others iffy due to injury.

    Pick Made: Sep 02, 8:31 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsTua Tagovailoa Over 266.5 Total Passing Yards -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +550
    10-5 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Mike McDaniel likes to come out throwing the ball all over the place and hunting maximum yardage. They love playing in the heat early in the season and in Week 1-4 in two years with McDaniel, Tua leads the NFL with 13.2 yards/completion and 8.3 yards/attempt, while averaging 292 passing yards/game. Even with a shaky offensive line Tua will get rid of the ball quickly and they will try to run a suspect Jags defense ragged all over the field. After landing a mega-deal in the offseason, I’ll be playing him in alt markets 300+.

    Pick Made: Sep 02, 7:35 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Total Home PointsMiami Over 26.5 Total Pts -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Jason's Analysis:

    If you want to lay the points with the Fins or just go over for the game total, I get it. Sept games in Miami are notoriously hot and sticky (MIA 10-2 ATS last 2 years when it’s 80-plus): Fins average 33 PPG in those conditions under Mike McDaniel, with 6.9 yards/play and whopping 36% TD rate (136 drives). MIA games average 53.25 points in those conditions. Tua has 116.2 rating (29 TD – 7 INT) and Tyreek Hill has 96 grabs for 1597 yards with 10 TDs in 12 games as a Fin in those conditions. JAX defense in trouble in a track meet in a sauna. (JAX 2-3 ATS in last 5 when 80+). Miami avg 33.3 PPG Weeks 1-6 last 2 years

    Pick Made: Aug 30, 11:12 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Total Home PointsMiami Over 26.5 Total Pts -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Dolphins' offense started fast last year in a 36-34 win over the Chargers, and I'm expecting another seaon-opening outburst against Jacksonville. The Jaguars' secondary is terrible. Tua Tagovailoa gets rid of the ball quick enough to neutralize Jacksonville's admittedly stout pass rush. Tagovailoa's weapons are ridiculous: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane, Raheem Mostert, Jonnu Smith and impressive rookie Malik Washington, among others.

    Pick Made: Aug 30, 8:23 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Point SpreadMiami -3 -110
    PUSH
    Unit1.0
    +82
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +901.5
    28-18-2 in Last 48 JAC ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    Miami has proven to have one of the biggest home-field advantages in the league in recent years, and they're a rare team who should be getting at least three points for HFA. So this line makes sense if the Dolphins and Jaguars are even, and even with Miami's early injuries, I can't see that making sense. I have this line at Miami -6, so I love the value of giving three and pushing if the Dolphins only win by a field goal.

    Pick Made: Aug 30, 5:47 pm UTC on BetMGM

    Team Injuries

    Jacksonville Jaguars
    Friday, Sep 20, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Cam Robinson
    KneeQuestionable
    Thursday, Sep 19, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Tank Bigsby
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Monday, Sep 16, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Evan Engram
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Darnell Savage
    QuadricepsQuestionable
    Wednesday, Jul 03, 2024
    Avatar
    FS
    Tashaun Gipson
    SuspensionSuspended
    Miami Dolphins
    Friday, Sep 20, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Raheem Mostert
    ChestDoubtful
    Avatar
    WR
    Malik Washington
    QuadricepsDoubtful
    Avatar
    WR
    Grant DuBose
    ShoulderOut
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