This number for Jaylen Brown feels a few ticks too high considering the Celtics are going to be at full strength tonight versus the Nuggets. Brown is averaging 23.3 PPG and will face a Nuggets team that is playing at the slowest pace in the league this season. When the Celtics are at full strength their entire starting five is capable of scoring 25+ points. I will fade the All-Star swing man in a game thats likely to be paced down.

Yep, we know the Celtics are 20-0 SU at home this season...that's the main reason this spread is where it is tonight despite facing the defending NBA champs. But not every game is easy for Boston, which has only covered two of its last six at TD Garden. The Nuggets are mostly at full strength tonight with Aaron Gordon expected to play, and recall losing by 19 at this site a year ago before almost reversing that scoreline at home. The Joker also hits tonight in good form, scoring 26 pg and pulling down 13 caroms pg across his past four outings. This one should be close. Play Nuggets