loading...
Wed 06/16 | 11:30 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Hawks 47-34, 45-35 ATS
ATL +7
ATL +250
Over 224
Philadelphia 76ers 55-26, 43-36 ATS
PHI -7
PHI -300
Under 224

Expert Picks

Atlanta 109 @ Philadelphia 106 | 06/16 | 11:30 PM UTC

Atlanta +7

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Sixers star Joel Embiid is listed as questionable, but that's obviously ridiculous as he's playing. That said, he did not look close to right in the Game 4 loss -- going 0-for-12 in the second half. And maybe Philly will miss the injured Danny Green just a little. Hawks coach Nate McMillan made the smart move of yanking invisible Solomon Hill from the starting lineup (he didn't even play) in favor of Kevin Huerter, who brings a lot more offense/shooting. Barring Embiid leaving injured, I have little doubt the Sixers win, but this spread feels too high per every model I've checked -- including SportsLine's.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1477 110-70 IN LAST 180 NBA PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 ATL ATS PICKS

Season Splits

47-34, 45-35 ATS
55-26, 43-36 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
45-35-1
43-36-2
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
47%
19-21-1
25-16
61%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
52%
21-19
37-27-1
57%
When Spread was +5.5 to +8.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -8.5 to -5.5
45%
5-6
13-9-1
59%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
13-12
21-15
58%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
48%
15-16
13-14
48%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
43-35-1
42-35-2
54%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
39-27
37-28-2
56%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
42%
3-4
4-3
57%