Through this point in the season, Memphis has been the best Under team in the NBA, while San Antonio has been the best Over team. In this matchup, I'm leaning toward the Under. The Under has gone 26-8-1 in Memphis' games against Western Conference teams thanks in large part to a team that is inefficient on offense, yet strong defensively.

San Antonio's defense has been invisible or maybe non existent, however in this case, Memphis doesn't have the offensive weapons to exploit what we're seeing from the normally defensive organization. The Memphis offense is just one reason to like the Under, another is the Grizzlies slow pace -- #30 out of 30 and their solid defense -- #6 in defensive efficiency.

The Grizzlies have covered four straight home games while the Spurs have failed to cover their last seven. Look for big contributions from Avery Bradley and Joakim Noah as Memphis takes this one to the wire or wins outright.