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Wed 08/17 | 12:10 AM UTC | Milwaukee
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
L.A. Dodgers 107-48, +836 ML
LAD +1.5-205
LAD +105
Over 8-115
Milwaukee Brewers 83-72, -1382 ML
MIL -1.5+170
MIL -125
Under 8-105

Expert Picks

MLB | L.A. Dodgers 4 @ Milwaukee 5 | 08/17 | 12:10 AM UTC

Milwaukee -120

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Brewers trail the Cardinals by two games in NL Central and need wins. Brian Woodruff is 5-0 at home this season with a 2.38 ERA. He's allowed two or fewer runs in 10 of his 17 starts. The Brewers have put up four runs or more in each of their last five games when Woodruff starts. Ryan Pepiot makes his sixth career start and is 1-0 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. In his last start, Pepiot allowed four runs off five hits in 4 1/3. However, I'm backing the more experienced pitcher at home to slow down this Dodgers lineup. Play the Brewers to win (-120).

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Bob Konarski

BurghBets
+1245 37-20 IN LAST 57 MLB ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS

Season Splits

107-48, +836 ML
83-72, -1382 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
70%
80-34, +861
61-53, -1064
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
67%
40-19, +343
29-23, -609
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
1-1, +3
51-39, -800
56%
When Line was -113 to +117
MONEY LINE
When Line was -137 to -107
100%
1-0, +103
14-15, -359
48%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
1-1, +3
27-19, -438
58%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
83%
30-6, +1163
19-18, -169
51%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
69%
51-22, +316
13-10, +62
56%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
66%
56-28, +116
42-41, -1163
50%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs LAD
100%
1-0, +57
0-1, -100
0%
when Ryan Pepiot starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Brandon Woodruff starts
80%
4-1, +102
11-6, +13
64%