loading...
Thu 07/07 | 11:20 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
St. Louis Cardinals 66-51, +431 ML
STL +1.5+105
STL +205
Over 9-120
Atlanta Braves 73-47, -48 ML
ATL -1.5-125
ATL -250
Under 9+100

Expert Picks

MLB | St. Louis 3 @ Atlanta 2 | 07/07 | 11:20 PM UTC

Atlanta -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Cardinals are 3 for 36 (0.83) with runners in scoring position on this road trip, and they've been outscored 16-4 so far in Atlanta. Now they send lefty Matthew Liberatore to the mound in Thursday's series finale; he has a 10.97 ERA in three road games, and the Braves are tougher versus southpaws (.793 OPS to .743 OPS vs. righties). Braves rookie Spencer Strider (4-2, 2.87 ERA, 1.01 WHIP) has been brilliant in his last two starts. Look for Atlanta to make it eight in a row over St. Louis, and lay 1.5 runs at -120.

author-image

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+949 64-43 IN LAST 107 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

66-51, +431 ML
73-47, -48 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
44-40, -393
49-34, -185
59%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
20-24, -562
27-17, -116
61%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
38%
17-27, -883
41-19, +494
68%
When Line was +187 to +217
MONEY LINE
When Line was -262 to -232
0%
0-0, 0
4-1, +63
80%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
34%
11-21, -937
26-12, +291
68%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
45%
14-17, -252
9-5, +115
64%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
35%
7-13, -716
11-10, -282
52%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
52%
34-31, -387
37-26, -218
58%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs STL
0%
0-3, -300
3-0, +183
100%
when Matthew Liberatore starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Spencer Strider starts
80%
4-1, +230
4-3, -102
57%