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Tue 07/05 | 11:05 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Washington Nationals 40-80, -1968 ML
WAS +1.5-135
WAS +143
Over 9.5+100
Philadelphia Phillies 65-52, +330 ML
PHI -1.5+115
PHI -170
Under 9.5-120

Expert Picks

MLB | Washington 0 @ Philadelphia 11 | 07/05 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -164

WIN

ANALYSIS: I'm not going to play the Phillies near as much as before without Bryce Harper, and I don't trust their starting pitcher, Christopher Sanchez, all that much. However, the Phils were off Monday while the Nats had to play extra innings for the second day in a row vs. Miami so their bullpen is a bit worn down. And I buried the lead: No Juan Soto again.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3203 289-177-1 IN LAST 467 MLB PICKS
+1191 16-3 IN LAST 19 WAS ML PICKS

Season Splits

40-80, -1968 ML
65-52, +330 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
35%
29-53, -1529
42-38, -115
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
40%
15-22, +31
22-20, -439
52%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
32%
22-46, -1376
27-22, -435
55%
When Line was +130 to +160
MONEY LINE
When Line was -184 to -154
41%
10-14, +79
7-2, +202
77%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
15-21, +131
19-14, -216
57%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
40%
8-12, -46
8-11, -468
42%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
47%
19-21, +99
15-13, -362
53%
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
37%
23-39, -810
5-4, +40
55%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
20%
1-4, -254
4-1, +148
80%
when Paolo Espino starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Cristopher Sanchez starts
25%
1-3, -165
0-1, -100
0%