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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
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Expert Picks
The over has hit in eight straight Rockies and seven of the last eight Giants games. We saw this over hit in the first two games of the series, and I expect this game to end similarly. The Giants bats are hot right now, especially against LHPs, so Kyle Freeland should struggle to limit runs. This season, the over is 5-2 behind SF's Logan Webb, and he has struggled at Coors Field. Even if we don't see runs early, both bullpens have been incredibly busy over the last two days. Expect another high scoring game on this warm Denver day.
Tail me at your risk because totals aren't generally my thing, but that this has risen to 11 has me taking a shot on the Under. I am well aware that five straight games in Denver have gone Over this total. Winds shouldn't be a factor at Coors Field -- maybe even blowing in a bit -- and we have the whole day after night game so a regular or two may sit (indeed, a few are on each side). Plus, the shadows could benefit pitchers later in the game. The Giants' Logan Webb has a 3.48 ERA on the season so he'll probably hold the Rox to 3-4 runs. Colorado's Kyle Freeland has a 4,91 ERA but had been very good of late before being torched by the Royals last time out. He has a 3.94 ERA in 17 career starts vs. the Giants, who are hitting nearly 35 points lower this year vs. lefties than right-handers. Both these teams hit much worse in day games. The SportsLine Projection Model has 9.8 runs being scored.