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Expert Picks
I’ll take the Rockies at home, where they’re much better, to win by two or more against the Diamondbacks and Tyler Gilbert, who managed to throw a no-hitter in his first career start. There’s normally a pretty staunch regression after a no-no due to elevated pitch count and some luck. But what’s more important here is the difficult pitching climate of Coors. I expect the Rockies will be able to handle their business against a bad road team in Arizona. Colorado starter Austin Gomber has a 1.70 ERA and an 0.85 WHIP at Coors. This -110 price is a solid value play.
The only teams in all of baseball with a better home record than the Rockies are the Giants and Dodgers. That's it. The Rockies have won seven in a row and nine of their last 10 at home. They were off Thursday and didn't even have to travel. Austin Gomber returns from the paternity list and while he got hit hard last time out, he's 5-1 with a 1.70 ERA at home. Diamondbacks starter Tyler Gilbert threw a no-hitter last time out in his first career start. He's about to learn was big-league regression is like.
These teams are equally putrid on the road -- literally the same record away -- but Colorado is a monster at home. It also was off Thursday, while Arizona had to use closer Taylor Clarke for 26 pitches to hold off the Phillies, so he's probably out. Rox starter Austin Gomber has a 1.70 home ERA. He's countered by Mr. Shocking No-Hitter Tyler Gilbert. Tend to think things will go a tad differently in his second big-league start -- first start after no-hitters, many pitchers really struggle because of that previous high pitch count -- and first in Denver.