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Sun 08/01 | 5:20 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Milwaukee Brewers 63-43, +948 ML
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Over 9-120
Atlanta Braves 52-54, -847 ML
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Under 9+100

Expert Picks

Milwaukee 2 @ Atlanta 1 | 08/01 | 5:20 PM UTC

OVER 9

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I love to take Overs at Truist Park, especially on days when the wind is blowing out and there's a low air density index. We have a great even-money price, and I could see this game getting a little messy without much difficulty. Milwaukee LHP Brett Anderson is a sub-par pitcher, as evidenced by his .369 xwOBA and .486 xSLG, while Atlanta RHP Charlie Morton has allowed three or more runs in five of his last six starts at home. The Over is the play.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+283 6-3 IN LAST 9 MLB O/U PICKS

Season Splits

63-43, +948 ML
52-54, -847 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
59%
62-43, +798
52-53, -748
49%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
63%
33-19, +1207
27-26, -473
50%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
60%
20-13, +1076
34-30, -656
53%
When Line was +142 to +172
MONEY LINE
When Line was -187 to -157
40%
2-3, -10
6-7, -336
46%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
69%
16-7, +1182
21-20, -647
51%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
48%
17-18, -195
16-17, -236
48%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
56%
39-30, -99
19-22, -340
46%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
58%
43-31, +408
38-35, -195
52%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIL
40%
2-3, -154
3-2, +145
60%
when Brett Anderson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Charlie Morton starts
53%
8-7, +110
12-9, -49
57%