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Thu 07/01 | 5:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas City Royals 33-47, -993 ML
KC +1.5
KC +215
Over 10
Boston Red Sox 51-31, +1632 ML
BOS -1.5
BOS -245
Under 10

Expert Picks

Kansas City 1 @ Boston 15 | 07/01 | 5:10 PM UTC

Boston -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: There is rain all over the East Coast right now -- Angels at Yankees was POSTPONED -- but it sounds like they should be able to get this in, although perhaps it could be delayed a bit. Kansas City enters on an eight-game skid and starts untrustworthy Kris Bubic (2-3, 4.47). He has a 6.46 ERA on the road. Boston's Nathan Eovaldi (8-4, 3.67) has a 2.66 ERA in his past seven starts and leads the AL in homers allowed per nine innings with just four in 90.2 IP. No value here on Boston as a massive ML favorite, so we'll back the Sox at -130 on the runline.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+4279 83-33-4 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS
+196 3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS ATS PICKS

Season Splits

33-47, -993 ML
51-31, +1632 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
33-46, -895
50-31, +1591
61%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
35%
15-27, -744
26-17, +442
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
35%
19-35, -850
26-20, -185
56%
When Line was +195 to +225
MONEY LINE
When Line was -255 to -225
0%
0-1, -100
0-0, 0
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
30%
11-25, -885
17-13, -139
56%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
36%
9-16, -347
14-11, -30
56%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
42%
21-28, -777
23-19, +57
54%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
35%
19-34, -1354
36-21, +1197
63%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
33%
2-4, -137
4-2, +67
66%
when Kris Bubic starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Nathan Eovaldi starts
66%
4-2, +265
10-6, +216
62%