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Tue 06/15 | 12:15 AM UTC | St. Louis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Marlins 29-36, -473 ML
MIA +1.5
MIA +183
Over 8.5
St. Louis Cardinals 32-33, -203 ML
STL -1.5
STL -203
Under 8.5

Expert Picks

Miami 2 @ St. Louis 4 | 06/15 | 12:15 AM UTC

St. Louis -157

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The slumping Cardinals have fallen below .500 and Mike Shildt's job security gets more tenuous by the day. Still, I like the Cards here behind Adam Wainwright and his 2.62 home ERA. It's rookie lefty Braxton Garrett for the Marlins as he makes his fifth career big-league appearance. Been rough going for the most part as he has a 6.14 career ERA. Miami is 6-18 in its past 24 as a road dog. St. Louis is 8-3 in its last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2106 27-6-1 IN LAST 34 MLB PICKS
+425 7-2 IN LAST 9 MIA ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 STL ML PICKS

Season Splits

29-36, -473 ML
32-33, -203 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
29-36, -473
32-33, -203
49%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
37%
13-22, -451
16-15, -146
51%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
16-24, -190
14-10, +9
58%
When Line was +160 to +190
MONEY LINE
When Line was -210 to -180
0%
0-3, -300
1-0, +56
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
33%
10-20, -501
9-9, -279
50%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
58%
14-10, +490
14-9, +245
60%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
45%
17-20, -167
6-11, -329
35%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
45%
22-26, -317
22-23, -121
48%
vs STL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
0%
0-3, -300
3-0, +303
100%
when Braxton Garrett starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Adam Wainwright starts
0%
0-1, -100
5-7, -282
41%