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Mon 05/17 | 11:10 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 18-16, -287 ML
NYM +1.5-160
NYM +150
Over 8-105
Atlanta Braves 19-21, -525 ML
ATL -1.5+135
ATL -160
Under 8-115

Expert Picks

N.Y. Mets 3 @ Atlanta 1 | 05/17 | 11:10 PM UTC

Atlanta -145

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The New York lineup has been gutted by injuries as now four regulars are on the IL. Meanwhile, the Braves are welcoming back star Ronald Acuna to the starting lineup (see news feed) after he didn't start the past three with an ankle issue. Taijuan Walker (3-1, 2.20) has been excellent for New York of late, but Atlanta's Max Fried (1-1, 6.55) has been terrific his past two after a slow start and has a 2.88 career ERA vs. the Mets in 50 innings.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1205 39-22 IN LAST 61 MLB PICKS
+65 2-1 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS
+40 3-2 IN LAST 5 NYM ML PICKS

Season Splits

18-16, -287 ML
19-21, -525 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
18-16, -477
19-21, -521
47%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
36%
7-12, -813
9-11, -468
45%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
54%
6-5, -70
14-14, -402
50%
When Line was +132 to +162
MONEY LINE
When Line was -172 to -142
0%
0-3, -300
4-3, -48
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
44%
4-5, -285
8-9, -368
47%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
44%
4-5, -244
9-8, -52
52%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
57%
11-8, -197
2-7, -546
22%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
68%
11-5, +212
13-13, -299
50%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Taijuan Walker starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Max Fried starts
85%
6-1, +145
2-3, -167
40%