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mlb - Mon 10/26 | 12:08 AM UTC | Globe Life Field |

L.A. Dodgers @ Tampa Bay

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ML
LAD -155
-153
Over / Under
8
7.5
ATS
LAD -1.5
-1.5

Matchup breakdown

LAD
Tampa Bay
PROJ SCORE
55-22
W-L
51-27
+702
ML
+1660
37-35
O/U
34-41
2.19
RUN DIFF
0.78
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Past Expert Picks

John Bollman

The Executive
Sun 10/25

L.A. Dodgers @ Tampa Bay | 10/26 | 12:08 AM UTC

L.A. Dodgers -155

WIN

Clayton Kershaw was 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA in the regular season but he is 3-1 with a 2.88 ERA in the postseason. He allowed just one run in six innings in his first start of the World Series in Game 1. Tyler Glasnow was 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA in the regular season and 2-2 with a 6.08 ERA in the playoffs. He pitched just one quality start out of five this postseason and he is coming off allowing six runs in 4.1 IP in Game 1. He has had a problem allowing home runs allowing five in 17.2 postseason innings this season and he can lose his command as shown by his six walks in Game 1. Both bullpens are weary after working stressful outs last night, expect the team whose starter can go the deepest to win.

John Bollman

The Executive
Sun 10/25

L.A. Dodgers @ Tampa Bay | 10/26 | 12:08 AM UTC

OVER 8

LOSS

Clayton Kershaw was 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA in the regular season but he is 3-1 with a 2.88 ERA in the postseason. He allowed just one run in six innings in his first start of the World Series in Game 1. Tyler Glasnow was 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA in the regular season and 2-2 with a 6.08 ERA in the playoffs. He pitched just one quality start out of five this postseason and he is coming off allowing six runs in 4.1 IP in Game 1. He has had a problem allowing home runs allowing five in 17.2 postseason innings this season and he can lose his command as shown by his six walks in Game 1. Both bullpens are weary after working stressful outs last night, expect the team whose starter can go the deepest to win.

SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
Sun 10/25

L.A. Dodgers @ Tampa Bay | 10/26 | 12:08 AM UTC

L.A. Dodgers -155

WIN

Since July of 2019, the Dodgers are 13-0 as the road team when they are a favorite of more than 120, they're coming off a game in which they allowed six-plus runs and it is not a series opener. LA has won these 13 games by an average of 4.38 runs. This performance indicator has been active three times in these playoffs and the Dodgers won those by scores of: 15-3, 7-3 and 6-2. This has been a soft spot for the Rays, as they are 0-9 as the home team and their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a one-run loss in which it scored at least four runs and its starter has an ERA higher than 2.00. Tampa has lost these nine games by an average of 3.56 runs, and it was an average of minus 147.5 on the money line in these nine losses. Finally, the Rays are 0-7 as home underdogs coming off a game in which they allowed five-plus walks and were out-hit, losing by an average of 3.43 runs per game. We are on the Dodgers.

+505 6-1 IN LAST 7 TB ML PICKS
+505 6-1 IN LAST 7 LAD ML PICKS

SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
Sun 10/25

L.A. Dodgers @ Tampa Bay | 10/26 | 12:08 AM UTC

OVER 8

LOSS

The Rays are 11-0 OU after allowing six-plus runs and at least one walk as home underdogs. The Dodgers are 7-0 OU when their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is not a series opener, scoring an average of 7.57 runs over these seven games. Also, LA is 12-0 OU as the road team when it is not the underdog, coming off a game as a favorite in which it scored more runs off the opponent’s bullpen than its opponent’s starter, and it is not a series opener. The Dodgers eclipsed the OU line in this spot by an average of 4.88 runs. We make the Over the play.

+570 8-2 IN LAST 10 LAD O/U PICKS

L.A. Dodgers

player
SPClaytonKershaw
39.25fan duel
22.07draft kings
5.74cbs sportsown% 97
player
RFMookieBetts
13.9fan duel
10.45draft kings
3.83cbs sportsown% 99
player
SSCoreySeager
11.49fan duel
8.56draft kings
3.13cbs sportsown% 97
PITCHINGINNWKHAERBBI
C. KershawClayton Kershaw6.40.466.94.72.201.3
RelieversRelievers2.60.143.32.51.300.8
HITTINGHRRBITBBBSB
M. BettsMookie Betts1.100.820.612.160.550.16
C. SeagerCorey Seager0.980.620.741.840.330.04
J. TurnerJustin Turner1.000.640.461.580.370.01
M. MuncyMax Muncy0.700.610.571.480.750.02
W. SmithWill Smith0.740.530.581.420.520.01
C. BellingerCody Bellinger0.850.580.521.690.530.10
C. TaylorChris Taylor0.830.500.421.350.390.05
J. PedersonJoc Pederson0.680.520.461.440.300.01
A. BarnesAustin Barnes0.670.410.421.080.410.06

KEY PLAYER INJURIES

D. Price, J. Nelson, C. Ferguson

NOT PROJECTED TO START:

A.J. Pollock, Enrique Hernandez, Edwin Rios, Matt Beaty
Batting order and lineup confirmed and provided by Rotowire.

Tampa Bay

player
SPTylerGlasnow
29.14fan duel
15.79draft kings
-0.71cbs sportsown% 92
player
CFRandyArozarena
9.48fan duel
7.17draft kings
2.42cbs sportsown% 15
player
3BYandyDiaz
9.3fan duel
7.17draft kings
2.54cbs sportsown% 28
PITCHINGINNWKHAERBBI
T. GlasnowTyler Glasnow5.00.236.74.22.802.5
RelieversRelievers3.70.174.13.61.601.4
HITTINGHRRBITBBBSB
Y. DiazYandy Diaz1.000.510.441.720.300.01
R. ArozarenaRandy Arozarena0.870.510.491.630.250.05
B. LoweBrandon Lowe0.810.500.481.480.200.04
M. MargotManuel Margot0.860.530.371.420.230.13
H. RenfroeHunter Renfroe0.620.450.531.450.210.02
J. WendleJoe Wendle0.770.460.391.160.160.06
W. AdamesWilly Adames0.720.400.311.240.220.02
K. KiermaierKevin Kiermaier0.790.430.331.510.140.07
M. ZuninoMike Zunino0.380.260.350.830.190.00

KEY PLAYER INJURIES

Y. Chirinos, C. Reed, C. Roe, J. Beeks, C. Poche, A. Kittredge

NOT PROJECTED TO START:

Ji-Man Choi, Austin Meadows, Brett Phillips, Michael Perez, Michael Brosseau, Yoshitomo Tsutsugo
Batting order and lineup confirmed and provided by Rotowire.

last updated: 10/25/2020 22:06 GMT