Steven Matz is 5-6 with a 4.89 ERA this season and 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA on the road. Michael Pineda is 6-4 with a 4.56 ERA and he has only given up one run total in four of his last five outings. The Twins have the second highest OPS in the league against lefties and the Mets are 19-32 on the road. The Twins are 28-15 at home and 36-18 as the favorite. Take the value in the Twins.

Michael Pineda has allowed exactly one run in four of his past five starts, and tonight he goes to the mound at Target Field where the Twins are 28-15. Minnesota loves facing left-handed pitching and should enjoy success against Steven Matz; he's 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA on the road. Lay it.