Miles Mikolas is a much better pitcher at home -- his last two home starts were brilliant -- and I'll lay it with the Cardinals. The Braves have lost Mike Foltynewicz's last seven starts.

Atlanta's Mike Foltynewicz has struggled a lot this season, and those struggles have led to this total being as high as it is. And I think it's too high. I expect there to be runs scored in this game, but this total is a full run higher than it should be.