Milwaukee's right-handed hitters versus left-handed pitching has a OPS of 1.066. The Dodgers left-handed hitters versus right-handed pitching has an OPS of 1.065. The Brewers are second in the league scoring 8.3 runs per game against lefties. The Dodgers are No. 1 in baseball against right handed pitching averaging 6.3 runs per game. I've mentioned several times on CBS HQ I think the Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball versus righties. Julio Urias is a 22-year old lefty that missed most of the last two years because of injuries has an ERA over 5. Don't let Zach Davies' 1.53 ERA fool you because his xFIP is 4.60. Davies is an average MLB pitcher that has been very lucky early in the season. He will regress to his place in baseball and an ERA in the mid fours.

The total seems too high, and it's at a good price. These are two good offenses, but the Under has gone 6-2-1 in their last nine matchups, and it's 22-7-1 in Zach Davies' last 30 starts, including 7-2 in his last nine at Miller Park. The Dodgers have stayed Under in their last five as well.

Milwaukee is 3-0 when Zack Davies gets the ball. He'll get it against a Dodgers team the Brewers beat two out of three in L.A. last week. The Dodgers snapped a six-game skid by winning four in a row, but my projections see a slight edge at Miller Park for the home Brewers. Milwaukee's getting a fair price as a slight underdog.