I like the value here with Arizona a home dog. San Diego starter Chris Paddack has a very impressive strikeout rate of 33.3% in his first two starts, but he's also walked 15.2% of the hitters he's faced. It's hard to trust a pitcher who has walked so many as a favorite, particularly when there's a chance his BABIP against of .176 is likely to level out at some point.

My projections see the Diamondbacks beating the Padres nearly 70 percent of the time in their Friday meeting, providing a massive value on the slight home underdog. look for Arizona's Luke weaver to have the edge against Chris Paddack in this battle of rising prospects.