Joey Luchessi looked very good against the Giants on Friday, but so far every pitcher has looked good against weak-hitting San Francisco. This will be a big test for him because the D'Backs are mashing the ball right now with at least five runs scored in every game. They've gone Over the total in all six games so far. Over is the play.

There isn't much more to this other than I believe it's a value play. We're only a week into the season, so we're dealing with a small sample size, but I don't know what we've seen from the Padres at this point to justify them being such a heavy favorite against this Arizona team. Plus, while Arizona starter Robbie Ray has bad overall numbers against these Padres, those numbers are more the result of a HR rate against him that's just not sustainable.