White Sox starter James Shields has a fly-ball rate of 44.5% this season, which is in line with the 43.5% rate he posted in 2017. The difference is that last year Shields had a HR/FB rate of 17.4%. This year that number is down to 8.2%. The ball flies at Guaranteed Rate Field in the summer months, and with temperatures in the low 90s and a strong wind blowing toward left field, today is likely the day Shields' home run luck runs out.

Value can be found with the Tigers against the White Sox on Sunday. After Saturday's late-inning heroics, look for Detroit to complete the sweep. Grab the Tigers.