Rockies rookie German Marquez has alternated strong starts with shaky ones. He is coming off eight shutout innings against the Cubs, but had given up 13 earned runs over 10 innings in two prior home starts. Ervin Santana is off to a great start for the Twins, but I expect him to regress a bit. He allowed six earned runs and four homers the last time he faced a potent lineup, against the Red Sox two starts ago. Both pitchers should be vulnerable, so look for Game 1 on Thursday to go Over the total.