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Warriors vs. Rockets odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA playoff matchup on April 30, 2025

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past six seasons, has locked in its bets for Game 5 of Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Wednesday

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 30, 2025 9:15PM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 2 seed Houston Rockets are fighting to extend their season when they host the No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. After splitting the first two games in Houston, the Warriors took both games at home. Golden State defeated the Rockets 109-106 in Game 4, taking a 3-1 series lead as Jimmy Butler had 27 points, with Brandin Podziemski adding 26.

Tipoff from Toyota Center in Houston is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Rockets are 4-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Rockets odds, while the over/under for total points is 204. Houston is at -176 on the money line (risk $176 to win $100), while Golden State is priced at +147 (risk $100 to win $147).

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Before making any Warriors vs. Rockets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Warriors vs. Rockets, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 156-116 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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