The Golden State Warriors visit the Detroit Pistons in a cross-conference matchup at 7 p.m. ET on Friday. Golden State is favored by two points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 200 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Steph Curry (hip) and Draymond Green (thigh) are among the key Warriors who have been ruled out in the hours leading up to tip, dropping the spread 7.5 points.

Before making any Warriors vs. Pistons picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model has factored in that the Warriors lead the league in net rating, out-scoring opponents by well over 10 points per 100 possessions. Golden State is the only team in the league with top-three rankings in both offensive and defensive rating, and the Warriors lead the league on defense by holding opponents to fewer than a point per possession. 

The model also knows the Pistons are playing improved basketball. No. 1 overall pick Cade Cunningham is beginning to show signs of his lofty upside, and the Pistons are 3-2 in the last five games. Detroit is also above-average in offensive rebound rate this season, and the Pistons rank in the top 10 in assist rate. The Pistons also create a turnover on 17.1 percent of defensive possessions, and the Warriors struggle to protect the ball on offense.

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Pistons. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Pistons spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!