The UMBC Retrievers and the Vermont Catamounts face off for the 2022 America East Conference Tournament title at 11 a.m. ET on Saturday. The Catamounts are favored by 15.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 142 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any UMBC vs. Vermont picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows UMBC is a fantastic shooting team. The Retrievers are No. 7 in the country in 3-point accuracy, making 38.6 percent of attempts. UMBC is also in the top 15 nationally in free-throw accuracy at 78.4 percent, and the Retrievers are No. 2 in the America East in both overall efficiency and free-throw creation. With UMBC also ranking in the top 50 nationally in turnover rate at 16.3 percent, the Retrievers can play freely, and Vermont is below-average in havoc creation on defense. Vermont is also yielding more than 37 percent 3-point shooting in conference play.

The model also knows Vermont leads the America East in defensive rating, but the Catamounts are dominant on offense. Vermont is No. 1 in the America East in offensive efficiency, and the Catamounts rank in the top five nationally in overall shooting efficiency. That includes conference-leading marks in 2-point accuracy (60.9 percent) and 3-point accuracy (41 percent), with the America East's best assist rate. Vermont is also in the top four of the conference in turnover rate, free-throw accuracy, free-throw creation and offensive rebound rate.

Now, it has set its sights on UMBC vs. Vermont. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins UMBC vs. Vermont? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the UMBC vs. Vermont spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!