UFC 249: Tony Ferguson odds and betting history
UFC 249 is next Saturday in Florida, and here's a look at recent betting history of Tony Ferguson as he battles Justin Gaethje for the interim lightweight title.
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Live major professional sports returns to the United States on Saturday, May 9, with a stacked UFC 249 card from VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla. The card is headlined by an interim lightweight title bout between Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje. Let's break down William Hill odds on the 36-year-old American Ferguson for the fight and his recent betting history.
The 6-foot, 155-pound Ferguson is ranked No. 1 in the lightweight division behind champion Khabib Nurmagomedov – those two were originally to fight at UFC 249, but coronavirus-related issues forced Khabib to pull out.
Who wins Ferguson vs. Gaethje? And how exactly does each fight at UFC 249 end? Get detailed picks on every UFC 249 fight, all from elite MMA expert Kyle Marley, who's up almost $19,000, and find out.
In his last fight at UFC 238, Ferguson beat Donald Cerrone by second-round TKO (doctor stoppage). A total of 12 of Ferguson's 25 wins (48 percent) have ended by KO or TKO. Meanwhile, eight of his victories (32 percent) are by submission. That last happened at UFC 216 when he beat Kevin Lee by third-round submission (triangle choke).
Finally, five of Ferguson's wins are by decision, last by unanimous decision over Rafael dos Anjos in November 2016. On the flip side, two of Ferguson's three losses are by decision, most recently in May 2012 to Michael Johnson. Ferguson's other loss was by submission to Jamie Toney in 2009.
From a betting perspective dating to 2011 when he joined the UFC, Ferguson was going to be a fairly heavy underdog vs. Khabib but otherwise has been a dog just once: +110 against dos Anjos (-150). In his most recent fight, Ferguson closed at -240 vs. Cerrone (+150).
The last bout where "El Cucuy" was approximately a -180 favorite on the moneyline as he is for UFC 249 was against Edson Barboza when Ferguson closed right on that number and won by second-round submission in "the Ultimate Fighter 22" Finale.