Twins vs. Nationals odds, line, prediction: 2026 MLB picks for Thursday, May 7, from proven model

The Minnesota Twins will look to win the series on the road when they face off against the Washington Nationals in the third and final game of the series on Thursday afternoon. The series is tied 1-1, with Washington coming off a 15-2 win on Wednesday. The Twins (16-21), who have lost three of five, are 6-11 on the road this season. The Nationals (17-20), who have two of their last three, are 5-13 on their home field in 2026.

First pitch from Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals lead the all-time series 15-14, and are 7-8 all-time at home against the Twins. New York is a -110 favorite on the money line (risk $110 to win $100) in the latest Nationals vs. Twins odds, while the over/under, is 9. 

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The model has simulated Nationals vs. Twins 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and is also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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