Teams looking to get back into the win column clash when the Troy Trojans battle the South Alabama Jaguars in a Sun Belt Conference West Division matchup on Tuesday night. Troy is coming off a 38-17 loss to Texas State on Oct. 3, while South Alabama dropped an 18-16 decision at Arkansas State on Oct. 5. The Trojans (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt), tied for sixth in the Sun Belt West, are 0-2 on the road this season. The Jaguars (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt), tied for fourth in the division, are 1-1 on their home field in 2024.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala. Troy holds a 9-3 series advantage, including a 28-10 win last season at Troy. The Jaguars are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Troy vs. South Alabama odds, while the over/under for total points scored 54.  

Before making any Troy vs. South Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows South Alabama freshman quarterback Gio Lopez powers the offense. He has completed 63.3% of his passes for 1,308 yards and 12 touchdowns with just one interception and a rating of 161.6. He is also third on the team in rushing, carrying 41 times for 258 yards (6.3 average) and two TDs. He has a long run of 50 yards. In a 48-14 win over Appalachian State on Sept. 19, Lopez completed 16 of 24 passes (66.7%) for 154 yards and two touchdowns, and added seven carries for 105 yards and one TD. 

The model also has taken into account that junior running back Damien Taylor powers the Trojans rushing attack. He has carried 68 times for 399 yards (5.9 average) and two touchdowns. In the win over Florida A&M on Sept. 21, he carried 15 times for 109 yards (7.3 average) and one touchdown. He carried 11 times for 63 yards (5.7 average) against Texas State.

The model has simulated Troy vs. South Alabama 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value!

Who wins Troy vs. South Alabama, and which side of the spread is the better value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model that is 12-5 over the past three weeks on top-rated CFB picks!