Thunder vs. Lakers odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA Western Conference semifinal Game 3 matchup on Saturday, May 9

The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder look to take a commanding 3-0 series lead when they battle the fourth-seeded Los Angeles Lakers in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal matchup on Saturday night. Oklahoma City earned a 125-107 win in Game 2 on Thursday. The Thunder (64-18), the defending NBA champions, are 32-10 on the road this season, including the postseason. The Lakers (53-29), who won the Pacific Division, are 30-14 on their home court.

Tip-off from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The Lakers lead the all-time postseason series 26-17, but the Thunder have won six of the last seven playoff meetings. The Thunder are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Lakers odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 211.5. 

Before making any Thunder vs. Lakers picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the second round of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 26-9 roll (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Lakers 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

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