Spurs vs. Timberwolves odds, line: Proven model reveals NBA picks for Game 4 matchup on Sunday, May 10

The second-seeded San Antonio Spurs (62-20) look for a commanding 3-1 lead over the No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) when they meet in Game 4 on Sunday. This NBA playoffs 2026 series saw the Wolves pull the road upset in Game 1 before the Spurs took each of the last two contests. San Antonio prevailed, 115-108, on Friday for its fifth victory over its last six postseason games. Minnesota is looking to avoid three straight playoff defeats for the first time since 2024.

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis. San Antonio is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Timberwolves vs. Spurs odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 218.5. 

Before making any Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the second round of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 26-9 roll (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Spurs 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Spurs vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Wolves vs. Spurs spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 26-9 roll on top-rated NBA picks!