The Philadelphia Phillies meet the Miami Marlins in the first of a four-game series on Monday. The Phillies (42-29), who are second in the National League East, have won four in a row. The Marlins (28-41), who are fifth in the division, are on a three-game winning streak.
First pitch from loanDepot Park in Miami is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies have won five of the past eight meetings with the Marlins. Philadelphia is a -113 favorite on the money line (risk $113 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Marlins odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 8.5 in the latest MLB odds.
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The model has simulated Phillies vs. Marlins 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is going Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value!
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Written by Daniel Kohn
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