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Phillies vs. Marlins odds, line, prediction: 2026 MLB picks for Tuesday, July 28 by proven model

SportsLine's projection model, which entered Week 19 of the MLB season on a 39-23 run, has locked in its MLB predictions for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

ByUpdated: Jul 28, 2026 3:21AM UTC . 2 min read

A pair of NL East rivals will square off on Tuesday's MLB schedule as the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Miami Marlins. This is the second of a three-game set, with Miami (53-54) ending a 12-game losing streak with a walkoff win on Monday. Philly (57-50) has now dropped to 3-7 since the All-Star break, including five losses over its last six games. Aaron Nola (3-8, 5.82 ERA) will start for the Phillies, countered by Miami's Sandy Alcantara (10-6, 4.01 ERA).

First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET from loanDepot park in Miami. The Marlins are -114 favorites on the money line (risk $114 to win $100) in the latest Marlins vs. Phillies odds, with the Phillies at -105. The over/under for total runs is 8.

Before making any Phillies vs. Marlins picks, or MLB predictions, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and entered Week 19 of the MLB season on a sizzling 39-23 run on all top-rated MLB picks. It also excelled at making home run prop picks in 2025, returning nearly 30 units of profit. Anybody following could have seen strong returns!

The model has simulated Marlins vs. Phillies 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and is also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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