Patrick Mahomes seeks his third Super Bowl ring when he leads the Kansas City Chiefs into Super Bowl 58 against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, Feb. 11. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

There are plenty of ways to get in action with Super Bowl 58 prop bets involving Mahomes. Before settling your Super Bowl prop  selections, you NEED to see the NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 184-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 38-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.   

The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.  

After simulating Chiefs vs. 49ers at Super Bowl LVIII 10,000 times and examining the numerous player props from the SportsLine consensus NFL odds, we can tell you the model says Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes goes over 257.5 passing yards. The model predicts that he finishes with 263 passing yards. 

Additionally, the model has taken a stand on one plus-money prop payout that you'll want to see now! You need to see the model's analysis before making any 2024 Super Bowl prop bets for the Chiefs quarterback.

Which Patrick Mahomes prop returns plus-money? And what other Super Bowl 58 props does the model love for Chiefs vs. 49ers? ... Join SportsLine now to see the top Super Bowl 2024 prop bets, all from the model that's up over $7,000 on NFL picks!