Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA first round Game 6 matchup on Thursday, April 30

The sixth-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves look to finish off the third-seeded Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round playoff matchup on Thursday. Minnesota took a commanding 3-1 series lead, but Denver won Game 5 125-113, pulling the series to 3-2. Jmala Murray led the Nuggets in scoring with 30 points, going 16-for-16 from the free-throw line. Anthony Edwards (knee) is out for the Timberwolves, with Ayo Dosunmu (calf) questionable. Aaron Gordon (calf) is questionable for Denver.

Tipoff from Target Center in Minnesota is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Nuggets are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 224.5. 

Before making any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine's model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the second full week of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 25-9 roll (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time!

Who wins Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 25-9 roll on top-rated NBA picks!