Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds, line: Proven model reveals Game 3 picks for NBA playoff matchup on Thursday, April 23

Game 3 of Nuggets vs. Timberwolves in the first round of the 2026 NBA playoffs is set for Friday after the Nuggets dropped one on their home court and the Timberwolves evened the series 1-1. The Nuggets, however, remain the series favorites at FanDuel Sportsbook at -210. Minnesota hopes to take a commanding 3-1 series lead with the next two games on home court. Aaron Gordon (calf) is listed as questionable for the Nuggets, while Anthony Edwards (knee) is questionable for the Timberwolves.

Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minnesota. The latest Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds have Denver as a 1.5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 232.5. Denver is at -117 on the money line (risk $117 to win $100).

Before making any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine's model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 24-9 roll (73%) on top-rated NBA spread picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 24-9 roll (73%) on top-rated NBA picks!