Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for matchup on March 9, 2025

Two of the three best teams in the Western Conference meet when the Denver Nuggets battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first of back-to-back games against one another on Sunday. Denver is coming off a 149-141 overtime win over the Phoenix Suns on Friday, while Oklahoma City downed the Portland Trail Blazers 107-89 that same night. The Nuggets (41-22), who are second in the Northwest Division, are 19-13 on the road this season. The Thunder (52-11), who are first in the Northwest and the Western Conference, are 27-4 on their home floor.

Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 243.5. The Thunder are -309 on the money line (risk $309 to win $100), while the Nuggets are +248 (risk $100 to win $248). 

Before making any Nuggets vs. Thunder picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It's also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations!

Who wins Nuggets vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 147-107 roll on top-rated NBA picks!