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Nevada vs. UNLV line, odds: Advanced computer model makes spread pick for Friday night game

The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up almost $3,900 over the past five-plus years, has simulated Friday's Mountain West Conference showdown between the Wolf Pack and Rebels 10,000 times
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The Nevada Wolf Pack and UNLV Rebels renew their bitter rivalry when the teams collide on Friday at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nev. The Wolf Pack lead the series, 27-19, and won last year, 37-19, in Las Vegas. This season Nevada (5-2, 2-1 in Mountain West Conference) enters the game coming off a 34-32 loss at Fresno State. Meanwhile UNLV (0-7, 0-3), which lost last week to San Jose State, is on a 13-game losing streak. 

Kickoff is 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Wolf Pack are 20-point favorites in the latest Nevada vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over/Under for total points scored is 58.5. (See the latest college football lines for all of this week's games on our college football odds page.)

Before making any UNLV vs. Nevada picks or college football predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that Nevada has one of the best passing offenses in the country. Led by quarterback Carson Strong, the Wolf Pack average 379.4 passing yards per game, which leads the Mountain West and ranks third in the country. In their last game they threw for 476 yards and four touchdowns against Fresno State. On Friday Nevada faces a UNLV defense that has struggled against the pass this season, allowing 287.1 yards per game, which ranks 123rd in the country.

The model also knows that UNLV has one of the best running backs in the conference in Charles Williams. A 5-foot-9 super senior from Fresno, Calif., Williams averages 102.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is second in the Mountain West and 20th in the FBS. In his last two games against Nevada, Williams has averaged 118.5 rushing yards a game and 6.1 yards per rush.

Now the model has simulated Nevada vs. UNLV 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, and it says one side of the spread covers almost 60 percent of the time. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins the Friday night showdown between Nevada and UNLVAnd which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the UNLV vs. Nevada spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks!

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SportsLine Staff