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Mets vs. Marlins odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Friday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's matchup between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins
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The Miami Marlins welcome the New York Mets to town to begin a weekend series with the opener at 6:40 p.m. ET on Friday. Miami is listed as a -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 7.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Mets vs. Marlins picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 56-47 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 11 weeks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the NL East-leading Mets are enjoying a successful season. New York leads the NL in runs scored (353), hits (625), batting average (.261) and on-base percentage (.332) this season. The Mets also have the most triples (16) in the league with a top-three mark in strikeout avoidance. New York's .401 slugging percentage provides a nice baseline, and starting pitcher Taijuan Walker has a 2.88 ERA this season.

The model also knows the Marlins have an elite starting pitcher on the hill. Former All-Star Sandy Alcantara has a 1.72 ERA this season, and he leads the league with 99.1 innings pitched. Alcantara also leads the NL in allowing only 6.1 hits per nine innings, and he limits opponents to 0.4 home runs per nine innings. Opponents have a .545 OPS against him this season, and Alcantara has a sparkling 1.36 ERA in home starts.

Now, it has set its sights on Mets vs. Marlins. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one team has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Mets vs. Marlins? And which team has ALL the value on the money line? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mets vs. Marlins matchup you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!

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SportsLine Staff