The season will be on the line as the sixth-seeded New York Mets battle the third-seeded Milwaukee Brewers in Game 3 of their National League Wild Card series on Thursday. Milwaukee evened things up on Wednesday with a come-from-behind 5-3 win after New York had taken Tuesday's opener 8-4. The winner of the series will play the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLDS.
First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are the -129 money-line favorite (risk $129 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Brewers odds, while the Mets are +109 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus.
Before you make any Mets vs. Brewers picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. Entering the 2024 MLB playoffs, it's on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+822) that dates back to last season. Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!
The model knows rookie sensation Jackson Chourio powers the Brewers offense. The 20-year-old homered twice in Wednesday's win over New York, helping rally Milwaukee from two separate deficits. He has been on fire this series, going 4-for-8 with two homers and three RBI. In 148 regular-season games, he batted .275 with 29 doubles, four triples and 21 homers.
The model also knows first baseman Pete Alonso is among New York's top offensive threats. In 162 games this season, he hit .240 with 31 doubles, 34 homers, 88 RBI and 91 runs scored. He was 1-for-4 on Wednesday after walking three times in Tuesday's Game 1 win. In 31 career games against the Brewers, he has three doubles, one triple, seven homers and 19 RBI.
The model has simulated Mets vs. Brewers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!
Who wins Mets vs. Brewers, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 32-17 roll on top-rated MLB run-line picks!
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