The New York Mets return to Milwaukee on Tuesday to face the National League Central Division champion Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of their NL Wild Card matchup. The Mets (89-73), who lost two of three to the Brewers this past weekend, advanced to the postseason by defeating the Atlanta Braves 8-7 in Game 1 of their doubleheader on Monday.
First pitch is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are the -143 money-line favorite (risk $143 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Brewers odds, while the Mets are +118 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus.
Before you make any Mets vs. Brewers picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. Entering the 2024 MLB playoffs, it's on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+822) that dates back to last season. Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!
The model knows rookie outfielder Jackson Chourio is among Milwaukee's top hitters. The 20-year-old has hits in seven of the past nine games, including four in a row. In Saturday's 6-0 win over the New York Mets, he was 2-for-5 with a double and stolen base. In 148 games this year, Chourio is batting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 homers, 79 RBI and 22 stolen bases.
The model also knows Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor has been red hot since coming back from injury. He has hits in three of four games since then, including a 2-for-5 effort with a homer and three RBI in Monday's 8-7 Game 1 win over the Atlanta Braves. He was 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI in Sunday's 5-0 win over the Brewers. He also had two hits in Friday's 8-4 loss at Milwaukee. For the year, he is hitting .273 with 39 doubles, one triple, 33 homers and 91 RBI.
The model has simulated Mets vs. Brewers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!
Who wins Mets vs. Brewers, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 32-17 roll on top-rated MLB run-line picks!
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