The No. 10 seed Dallas Mavericks hit the road to take on the No. 9 seed Sacramento Kings in the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament on Wednesday. The winner of this game moves on to play the Memphis Grizzlies with the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference playoff bracket on the line. The Mavs finished the regular season with a 39-43 overall record and a 17-25 record on the road. The Kings finished at 40-42 overall and 20-21 at home. Anthony Davis (adductor) is listed as probable for Dallas, while Jake LaRavia (thumb) and Malik Monk (calf) are both out for Sacramento.
Tipoff from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif., is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Kings won all three regular-season matchups between the two. The Kings are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Mavericks vs. Kings odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 213.5. Sacramento is at -221 on the money line (risk $221 to win $100), while Dallas is at +183 (risk $100 to win $183). Before making any Mavericks vs. Kings picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
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The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Kings 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations!
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